How to bet the World Cup final

Betting the 'Over' a smart value for Germany vs. Argentina

Updated: July 12, 2014, 4:18 PM ET
By James Eastham | ESPN Insider

Thomas Mueller, Lionel MessiOdd Andersen/AFP/Getty ImagesGermany's Thomas Mueller and Argentina's Lionel Messi square off Sunday afternoon.

It's finally here. After weeks of exciting games between the top international teams, the World Cup final is now upon us. It features to be an intriguing match for both bettors and fans alike, as Germany's high-powered offense takes on Argentina's stout defense.

What are the best values for Sunday's game? Let's take a look.


Germany vs. Argentina

Asian handicap: Germany -0.25 (-101) vs. Argentina +0.25 (-105)
3-way line: Germany +133 / Argentina +255 / Draw +223
PickCenter public consensus money line pick: 65 percent Germany
Total: 2 (Over -106, Under -102)

The way to bet this game largely depends on whether you've been following our picks from the start. If you backed our pretournament recommendation on Germany to lift the trophy, then you have a failsafe opportunity to make a profit by backing Argentina to do likewise. Normally we recommend level-stakes betting -- but having recommended Germany at plus-500 before the World Cup kicked off, it would make sense to place higher stakes on Argentina in order to guarantee an identical profit, regardless of which side is crowned world champions on Sunday.