Commentary

Chelsea's EPL chances

Left for dead weeks ago, Chelsea can make the EPL very interesting with a win Sunday

Updated: May 5, 2011, 5:18 PM ET
By Albert Larcada | ESPN Stats and Information
Fernando Torres Andrew Yates/AFP/Getty ImagesChelsea has had chances against Manchester United; it just needs Fernando Torres to convert them.

Over the next 23 days Manchester United will play in the two biggest matches remaining this season in Europe. The Champions League final will hold special meaning to United as it will be played in its home country; but it first must face a Chelsea squad in an EPL match that many thought would be meaningless one month ago.

Instead Chelsea has climbed back into the title picture and trails the Red Devils by just three points entering their Sunday matchup. The Blues have been on a torrid streak for months after most wrote them off following a forgettable November and December. Entering this weekend Chelsea is 11-1-2 in its last 14 EPL matches.

The Red Devils have gone 4-3-1 in their last eight EPL matches, though all three losses came on the road to top-six squads (Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea). At home United has secured 49 out of a possible 51 points in domestic league play and has won every match in the FA Cup and the Champions League knockout stage. This includes a 2-1 win against Chelsea at Old Trafford in the Champions League quarterfinals less than a month ago.

If United continues its dominant form, it will reclaim the EPL trophy.


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Albert Larcada is an Analytics Specialist in ESPN's Stats & Information group. Among other analytics projects, he maintains, advances and writes about ESPN's Soccer Power Index (SPI) algorithm.