Commentary

NHL's top 10 projected goalies

New York's Henrik Lundqvist projects to be the top netminder in 2011-12

Updated: September 28, 2011, 11:59 AM ET
By Philip Myrland | Hockey Prospectus
Hendrik LundqvistScott Levy/Getty ImagesThe Rangers' Hendrik Lundqvist projects as the best in the NHL at covering the crease.

What kind of goaltending is needed to win in the NHL? Tim Thomas made a powerful argument last season that an elite netminder can make a huge difference for a winning team, reversing the post-lockout trend that had seen a number of lower-paid and less experienced goaltenders lead their teams to championships.

Yet during the offseason, general managers around the league still seemed to disagree on the relative value of goaltending. At one end, Ilya Bryzgalov cashed in from the goaltending-desperate Philadelphia Flyers (nine years, $51 million), while at the other, Tomas Vokoun had to settle for relative peanuts to join the Washington Capitals (one year, $1.5 million).

The following list of top 10 projected goalies, as generated by the VUKOTA projection system of Hockey Prospectus, shows the depth of talent in the crease around the league today as well as the goaltenders who are most likely to be difference-makers in 2011-12. Included for each netminder is his projected number of appearances, save percentage and his value as represented by goals versus threshold (GVT).


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