Preview and projection: Finland

Tuukka Rask holds the key to the Finns earning another medal

Updated: January 22, 2014, 10:16 AM ET
By Timo Seppa | Hockey Prospectus

Tuukka RaskAP Photo/Charles KrupaOne of the NHL's top netminders, Tuukka Rask will be under pressure for Team Finland.

Olympic Previews: USA | Canada | Russia | Sweden
Finland | Czech Republic | Slovakia | The Rest

If you don't religiously follow Olympic hockey, you might be surprised to hear that the most consistent team of the past four men's Olympic hockey tournaments has been Finland, finishing just out of the money in Salt Lake City (fourth) but medaling the other three times.

By quantifying each team's players by their recent performances over the past two "partial" seasons -- meaning the 48 games of the lockout-shortened 2013 campaign combined with the 40-plus games in the books for 2013-14 -- we have come up with top-level projections for each squad, ranking them on offense, defense, goaltending and overall.

The metric of choice, as usual, is Hockey Prospectus' goals versus threshold (GVT). Team Finland, at 1.7 GVT per game, is comparable to a lower-tier NHL playoff team. An average NHL team registers 1.5 GVT per game.


To read the full preview and projection for Team Finland at the Sochi Olympics, including where the numbers say the Finns will finish, sign up for Insider today.