- Corey Pronman, ESPN Insider
The Washington Capitals came into 2010-11 as the defending Presidents' Trophy winners, and they were projected by Hockey Prospectus' VUKOTA system to again be the league's top team. Yet, as of Dec. 13, the Caps had fallen a bit short of the mark -- while second in Shot Differential per game among Eastern Conference teams, Washington is only fifth in Points Percentage, fourth in Wins and seventh in Goal Differential per game.
Washington may have seemed to have lost something off its fastball -- while still good, they Caps are not running away with the Eastern Conference title. Looking deeper, the stars have faltered as well; Alex Ovechkin isn't scoring at his usual pace and Mike Green's point totals are down as well. So are the Capitals' woes for real, or could we expect a bounce back to the form we predicted from Washington? Relax, Capitals fans. You're going to like the answer.
Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus looks at the 'struggles' -- i.e. they're not dominating the East -- of the Capitals. Based on a variety of factors, specifically shot-based data, they should end up being fine -- just like the '08-'09 Pens.