TNF Primer: How to bet IND-TEN

Line analysis and ATS picks from Vegas experts on the Thursday night game

Updated: November 14, 2013, 10:48 AM ET
By Jeff Gold | ESPN Insider

Here's the time when you want to play on Thursday night: after you get absolutely humiliated on Sunday. Both teams playing on "Thursday Night Football" this week, the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans, certainly fit that bill.

I'm not sure which result was more shocking: the Colts getting annihilated at home 38-8 by the lousy Rams or the Titans, also at home, giving the Jaguars their first win of the season. Either has a good case. "We're so excited to just get back on the field, and to get past this feeling, this taste out of our mouth," Colts defensive end Cory Redding said.

"It's disgusting," said Titans tight end Delanie Walker. "I'm disappointed. I'm embarrassed. A team that's 0-8 comes in here and beats us? Beats us on our home field, that's 0-8, the Jaguars? Come on." 

The AFC South teams get a chance to erase that awful feeling tonight.

The 6-3 Colts (4-5 ATS) are still in very solid shape in the division, two games up on the Titans (5-3-1 ATS), a team they've beaten in 10 of their past 11 meetings. Since entering the league, Andrew Luck has never lost two games in a row. Consider this about the Colts: Three of their six wins have come against what could be reasonably argued are the three best teams in the NFL, in Denver, Seattle and San Francisco. Unlike last year, when it feasted on a cupcake schedule, Indianapolis has proved this year that it can beat any team in the league.

As for Tennessee, it will be Ryan Fitzpatrick as the quarterback with Jake Locker out for the year with a foot injury. In terms of Locker, I don't think anyone really knows yet whether he's a capable NFL starter. With Fitzpatrick, we know he'll mix some hot streaks with some maddening interceptions. That's fairly standard for the typical backup NFL QB.

This line opened with Indianapolis as a short 2.5-point road favorite at Tennessee. The public is overwhelmingly supporting the Colts, with 87 percent of bets coming in on Indy, according to ESPN Insider's PickCenter.

Let's get some line analysis from Jay Kornegay of the Las Vegas Hotel and ATS picks on the game from Insider's panel of Vegas handicappers.


Matchup: Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Spread: Opened Colts minus-2.5; now Colts minus-3
Total: Opened at 42; now 42.5

Jay Kornegay says:


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