TNF Primer: How to bet WAS-MIN

Line analysis and ATS picks from Vegas experts on the Thursday night game

Updated: November 7, 2013, 2:18 PM ET
By Evan Abrams | ESPN Insider

Robert Griffin III and Adrian Peterson Getty ImagesRobert Griffin III and Adrian Peterson square off on Thursday night.

With last week's "Thursday Night Football" game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins ending on a safety in overtime, it will be pretty difficult for the Washington Redskins and last-place Minnesota Vikings to live up to expectations. The Redskins and Vikings are a combined 1-10 straight up against the NFC this year, while last year they were a combined 15-9 SU versus the NFC and 20-12 SU overall, finishing in first and second place in their respective divisions.

Tonight's game will mark the first time since 1980 that two teams that have each allowed 250-plus points through eight games will meet. The Vikings (2.2) and Redskins (2.1) are ranked 32nd and 30th in the NFL in opposing passing touchdowns per game, and both are among the worst teams in the league in opposing points per game in both the first and second half of games. The total for the game, listed at the Las Vegas Hotel, opened earlier in the week at 48.5, quickly ballooned to a high of 50.5 as of Wednesday and has settled around 49.5 by early Thursday morning.

Since 2006, the Vikings lead the series over the Redskins 3-2 SU and against the spread with the current spread sitting at minus-1 at LVH in favor of the road Redskins. Since Robert Griffin III took over in Washington as the starting quarterback in 2012, the Redskins have been a road favorite only three times prior to this matchup and are 2-1 SU and ATS in those contests. Under Mike Shanahan, the Redskins are above .500 with a 3-2 SU and ATS record as a road favorite.

Adrian Peterson has played in 20 prime-time games with Minnesota, and the Vikings are 6-14 SU and 5-15 ATS in those contests. The positive news for Peterson and the Vikings is the fact that he has scored a rushing touchdown in six of their last seven prime-time games dating back to 2010.

Let's turn to handicapping analysis from Jay Kornegay of the LVH and an ATS pick on the game from Insider's panel of wiseguys.


Matchup: Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings

Spread: Opened Washington minus-2.5; now Washington minus-1
Total: Opened 48.5; now 49.5