Green Bay Packers are underrated
Record masks Packers' potency, while Ravens face dark days ahead
Then there was one.
With the Houston Texans losing their perfect record to a resurgent Green Bay Packers team on Sunday, only the Atlanta Falcons remain undefeated. It's easy to understand why they're on top of the charts even if their performances haven't been entirely convincing in the past three weeks.
But what about the rest of the NFL? They don't have a perfect record to defend them from our scrutiny, and so as has become the norm every Tuesday here at ESPN Insider, let's audit the NFL Power Rankings.
Underrated -- Green Bay Packers
If not for that call against the Seattle Seahawks, the Green Bay Packers would be sitting pretty with a 4-2 record. Sure, the opening day defeat to the 49ers was an eye-opener, and the way they let a lead slip away in Indianapolis was depressing. But this is a team that handily beat a Chicago Bears team that hasn't won a game against a team ranked higher than 18th in these Power Rankings -- and that still has a lot more to prove. This is a team that just wiped the floor with the consensus No. 2 team in the Houston Texans. This is a team that still has Aaron Rodgers.
Through the first five weeks of the season, Rodgers hadn't looked like the guy who led the Packers to a 15-1 record in 2011. He wasn't helped by his receivers, and still isn't. They are behind only the Cleveland Browns in terms of drops with 21.
But Rodgers has overcome this before and he can again. Just look at what he did against a good Texans defense on Sunday. On our adjusted accuracy percentage figure (where drops are counted as completions and plays like batted passes, spikes, throw-aways and hit-as-throwns are discounted), Rodgers is second to only Robert Griffin III with a 80.9 percent mark. Part of what makes Rodgers so good is that he excels when facing pressure. He's faced pressure on 27.1 percent of plays (24th worst in the league), but his adjusted accuracy percentage remains high at 79.4 percent.
The improving defense is one to watch, as well. Clay Matthews, with pressure on 15.9 percent of pass rushes (third highest of all 3-4 outside linebackers), continues to make plays all over the field. The secondary has improved as Casey Hayward has gotten more snaps (his 0.77 yards allowed per coverage snap in the slot is the seventh lowest in the NFL). The defense, which had our fifth lowest team grade in 2011, now owns our eighth highest.
Ultimately you judge a team by its record at the end of the season. The Packers, with a tricky schedule to start the season (three divisional winners) and some questionable officiating, sit well prepared to make a move at .500. Watch out for them.
Overrated -- Baltimore Ravens
Even if Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb hadn't gone down with season-ending injuries, there's a strong case for Baltimore at No. 4 being a number of spots too high. But with that knowledge, is this team still a contender?
Let's face it, for as much early optimism as Joe Flacco courted and at times inspired (heck, even I bought into it), he's still a guy who struggles to consistently get the job done. That means he needs the Ravens' defense to play like we're accustomed to seeing from them, rather than what we are seeing from them.
To see why the Green Bay Packers are underrated and what team is overrated, plus to get access to all of Insider's NFL coverage, sign up today.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE NFL HEADLINES
- Bills' Williams denies contemplating suicide
- Sources: NFL close to shifting draft to May
- Gronkowski has 4th surgery on left forearm
- Fans buy items on RG III's wedding registry
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
NFL WEEK 7 COVERAGE

Fantasy Football on ESPN.com
NFL Nation blog | Leaders NFL Stadium Guides | QBR ratings
Monday Night HQ
WEEK 7 PICKS
- Expert picks | Madden sims | PickCenter

- Simmons: Goodell's hypocrisy, Week 7 picks
- Tuley: Best Week 7 ATS picks

HOT READ
- Chadiha: When is it over for a franchise QB?
- Stats & Info: The end for Cassel, Sanchez?
- Vote: When is it time to start over at QB?
- Polian: Needs for rebuilding teams

FINAL WORD
MNF: Lions at Bears, 8:30 ET
- Seifert: Johnson needs some help
- Tirico: Bears' D, Sanders' take

- Greenberg: Chicago's dynamic duo
- Inside the Lions-Bears rivarly
- Monday Night Headquarters
POWER RANKINGS
- Falcons move to No. 1; Seahawks rise
- How they voted | Bloggers | Rank 'Em
- Overrated, underrated
| Bettors' Poll 
CLAYTON / FOX / SCHEFTER
- Clayton 1st & 10: AFC inferiority complex
- Fox: Best team might be Giants
- Schefter: Comparing RG3 to HOF QBs
- Schefter mailbag: What ails Cam?

- Clayton mailbag: Flaws for 49ers, Texans
- Fox: Eagles' loss turns up heat on Reid
COMMENTARY/ANALYSIS
- Bayless: Deciding just who Tony Romo is
- Williamson: The Carson Palmer dilemma
- Flem File: Could the entire NFL go .500?
- Wulf: Bring back the two-QB system!
- Graziano: Reid must stick with Vick
- Double Coverage: Ravens-Texans
- Mag: Why slot receivers are on the rise
- Yasinskas: Who's No. 2 in the NFC South?
- Brandt: The NFL's concussion conundrum
- MVP Watch: Mannings on the move
- Seifert: Lions' Best bet gone bad?
INSIDER
- Millman: How Lewis affects the spread

- Jaworski: How Eli became elite

- Horton: 3 keys for a Saints turnaround

- Sprow: Wilson fights height label

- Joyner: Don't give up on the Eagles yet

- Outsiders: Who's on Week 7 upset watch?

- Alamar: Why RG3 is ahead of Luck

- Rookie Watch: Bobby Wagner is legit

- Scouts Inc.: Week 7 game previews

- Edwards: Eagles' new direction on D

- PFF: The highly replaceable Ray Lewis

- Kiper: Ranking '11 draft class now

2013 NFL DRAFT
- Horton: How Eagles adapt to Kelly's scheme
- Millman: 2013 NFL win total picks
- Tuley: Best early-season win-total bets
- Red Flags: NFC East | North | South | West
- Kiper: 2014 Big Board | Top TEs | OLBs | ILBs

