Blown call impacts playoff odds
Packers and Seahawks both see big swings in postseason probability
Seldom are there sports moments like Monday night, when everyone and their respective mothers band together in outrage. Twitter exploded. When something so obviously wrong happens -- such as the officials incorrectly handing the Seattle Seahawks a win over the Green Bay Packers -- it brings out the critic in everyone. And if this gaffe impacts the postseason, those critics will only get louder.
This got us thinking: Just how much of an effect could that interception/touchdown have on the Packers' and Seahawks' seasons? Particularly their postseasons.
The Seahawks move to 2-1 in what is strangely a very competitive NFC West division. (Remember when Seattle made the playoffs at 7-9?). The Packers, on the other hand, move to 1-2 and have now lost more games than they did all last year. What impact will that blown call have on the 2012 NFL playoff picture? We can tell you.
Using advanced analytics and forward-based modeling that accounts not only for current records and historical trends but also incorporates a team's projected talent level, we at numberFire have crunched the playoff odds for you. Keep in mind, it's extremely early in the season, so a lot can and will change moving forward. But still, the impact from Monday night was quite significant.
To see just how much one missed call may affect the postseason picture, become an Insider today.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE NFL HEADLINES
- Lawsuit alleged Hernandez shot man in face
- Source: Revis paid $50K to get 24 with Bucs
- Titans' Pollard: Mission to 'kill,' goal is SB
- Arians: Fans biggest obstacle for gay player
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
NFL WEEK 4 COVERAGE

Fantasy Football on ESPN.com
Clayton's Last Call | NFL Nation blog
Total QBR ratings
WEEK 4 PICKS
MNF: Bears at Cowboys, 8:30 ET
On ESPN and WatchESPN.com
- Seifert: Where's Chicago's firepower?
- Hot Button: Jay Cutler or Tony Romo?
- Taylor: What Jason Garrett must do
- Archer: Sean Lee has look of a legend
- ESPN Dallas | ESPN Chicago
- Monday Night Headquarters
CLAYTON / FOX / SCHEFTER
- Clayton: 1st and 10 for Week 4
- Fox: Vick at crossroads -- again
- Schefter: Massive pressure on coaches
- Clayton mailbag: RBs are back in style
- Fox: Plenty of blame to go around
- Schefter: Kickoff reform not imminent

FINAL WORD
COMMENTARY/BLOG POSTS
- Walker: No panic on Patriots
- Williamson: Right scheme for McFadden?
- Kuharsky: Watt breaking the DE mold
- Simmons: The Goldengate Mailbag
- Yasinskas: Falcons' patience pays off
- Klosterman: The problem with Chris Johnson
- Rovell: Packers ticket list about dreams
- Sando, Seifert: How refs impact betting

- MVP Watch: Ryan strengthens case
- Hensley: Identity change in AFC North
- Knee-jerk Reactions: True, or not quite?
INSIDER ANALYSIS
- Pattani: Can Saints, Packers rebound?

- Jaworski: How the Eagles can protect Vick

- Horton: Which injuries are most impactful?
- Joyner: Are the Cardinals for real?

- Scouts Inc.: Week 4 previews

- Joyner: Cardinals can win NFC West

- Rookie Watch: Wilson's got game

- Edwards: Can Saints fix their defense?

- FBO: Steelers doomed without Polamalu?

- Williamson: Can Texans go undefeated?

FANTASY COVERAGE
- Berry: Love/Hate for Week 4
- Sit Eli, start Packers receivers

- Week 4 projections | Free-agent finds
- Joyner: Is it time to trade Vick?

STATS & INFO
- SEA-G.B.: Win probability of final play
- Matt Ryan off to torrid Total QBR start
- Lions: Bad communication or bad decision?
SPORTSNATION
2013 NFL DRAFT
- Sprow: Where top FPR teams could falter
- Bowen: How to stop Adrian Peterson
- Insider: NFL Future Power Rankings
- Kiper: The 5 best offseasons of 2013
- Offseason Grades: AFC | NFC | Kiper on draft

