Best fits for top NFL free agents
Where Mario Williams, Vincent Jackson, Peyton Manning, others could land
Insider free agency preview:
Top 50 free agents | Best fits for top FAs | Riskiest FAs | Best values | Five teams for Mario Williams | Vincent Jackson | Six teams in danger in FAWe're just a few days away from the start of NFL free agency. It won't be as fast and furious as last year, but some quality big-name players will be changing teams. We're spending a lot of time trying to figure out who will end up where, so Football Outsiders decided to take some time to figure out who should end up where.
There are many considerations in figuring out the best fit for a free agent. It needs to be a team with a hole at the position; it needs to be a team where the player fits the scheme; it needs to be a team with some cap space; and most free agents would certainly prefer, all other things (i.e., money) being equal, to sign with a team that's a playoff contender.
It was hard to pick the top free agents, and we know that some good players, such as DeSean Jackson and Paul Soliai, were left off our list. We didn't consider players who were franchised or re-signed by their current teams, such as Matt Forte, Drew Brees and Wes Welker. We also left out restricted free agents, although it certainly wouldn't be a surprise to see a few teams willing to lose a first-round pick in order to bring in Pittsburgh's Mike Wallace.
One other thing to remember: Neither the Giants nor the Patriots spent money on one of the top free agents of the 2011 offseason. They filled holes with cheaper players such as David Baas and Andre Carter. So you don't need to sign one of these guys to make it to Super Bowl XLVII.
DE Mario Williams: Tennessee Titans
To see the best fits for top NFL free agents such as Mario Williams, Peyton Manning and Stevie Johnson, sign up for ESPN Insider.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
- NFL analyst for ESPN Insider
- Founder of Footballoutsiders.com
- Contributes regularly to "Numbers Never Lie"
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE NFL HEADLINES
- Report: NFL calls for immediate HGH testing
- Pack's Rodgers: Urlacher favorite opponent
- Vick says he's still NFL's fastest quarterback
- Roethlisberger challenges young quarterbacks
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
The NFL on ESPN.com

NFL DRAFT ON ESPN
- Round 1: 3 hours
- Day 2: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN & WatchESPN
- Day 3: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN & WatchESPN
NFL DRAFT PROFILES
- Merrill: How dad molded Andrew Luck
- The Mag: Burfict fighting perception
- Mag: Griffin III is no ordinary QB
- Chadiha: Kuechly looks like a sure thing
- Fox: DT Poe races up the board
- Chadiha: Jenkins trying to rebuild image
HOT BUTTON: KIPER-MCSHAY DEBATES
- Who's the second-best RB in the draft?
- Which player is getting too much hype?
- Which team has toughest call in top 10?
- Which probable 2nd-rounder belongs in 1st?
- Which Day 2 QB will have best career?
NFL DRAFT TEAM NEEDS
- Horton: NFC East needs | W | N | S

- Horton: AFC East needs | W | N | S

MORE NFL COVERAGE
- Fox: Skins create another QB controversy
- Clayton: Players control Pro Bowl's fate
- Clayton: Draft drama starts at No. 3
- Fox: The draft is just the beginning
- Brandt: A peek inside a draft war room
- Joyner: Five overrated draft prospects

- TMQ: Annual mock draft mockery
- Scouts Inc.: The secondary QB market

- NFL Blog Network: Mock draft 2.0
- Clayton mailbag: Jags, Fins in tough spots
- Fox: Vikings could shake up draft, more
- Williamson: Plenty of draft intrigue here

- Fox: Reaching in draft is a mistake
- Walker: Dolphins are no easy fix
- Polian: Ranking best-drafting teams

- Next Level: Risk of drafting a top-10 QB
- Mag: Stanford four could make history
MORE NFL DRAFT
- Mocks: Kiper 5.0
| McShay 6.0
- Ranks:
McShay top 32 | Kiper Big Board - Cheat Sheets:
QB | RB | WR | TE | OL - More Cheat Sheets:
DL | LB | DB - Kiper's 'Grade A' drafts:
AFC | NFC - McShay: Stacking the 2012 draft board

-
McShay: Seven tiers of draft talent

- Gallery: Top offensive prospects
- Gallery: Top 10 defenders
- Complete draft order | Draft home
- Bowen: 5 second-year breakout candidates
- Sprow: Namath wrong, Smith pick smart
- Joyner: 5 fantasy breakout players
- Red Flags: NFC East | North | South | West
- Kiper: 2014 Big Board | Top TEs | OLBs | ILBs


