SNF Showcase: Betting CIN-PIT

Line analysis and ATS picks from Vegas experts on the Sunday night game

Updated: December 15, 2013, 1:26 PM ET
By Evan Abrams | ESPN Insider

Las VegasThinkstockESPN Insider's group of betting experts help break down Sunday night's game.

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals met in Cincinnati in Week 2 this season with the Bengals getting the best of Ben Roethlisberger in a largely defensive 20-10 victory. With only three weeks left in the regular season and Pittsburgh currently sitting four games behind Cincinnati, the division is out of reach for the Steelers. However, they are currently holding out hope that the final AFC wild-card spot is attainable.

According to Football Outsiders, the Steelers have a 1.9 percent chance of slipping into the sixth spot in the AFC with the Miami Dolphins (49.5 percent), Baltimore Ravens (25.8), San Diego Chargers (17.3) and New York Jets (2.5) all holding better odds to grab it. The Bengals are currently slated to face the winner of the No. 6 seed in the first round of the playoffs, thanks to their win over the Indianapolis Colts last week.

The Steelers' defense has allowed 312 points through 13 games this season. It is the first time since 1988 that a Steelers defense has surrendered this many points through 13 games. Roethlisberger's history in prime time has a clear separation date of 2010. From 2004 to the end of 2009, Big Ben was 19-5 SU but 12-12 ATS; from 2010 to present, Roethlisberger is 8-10 SU and 5-13 ATS. Roethlisberger has dropped seven of his last nine prime-time games overall, but is 12-4 SU (9-7 ATS) against the AFC North in prime time, with a 7-1 SU (4-4 ATS) record at home.

According to ESPN Insider's PickCenter, the public is currently backing the Bengals as a road favorite at a clip of 68 percent.

Let's get some analysis of the line from Jay Kornegay of the Las Vegas Hotel and an ATS pick on the game from four wiseguys.


Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread: Opened Bengals minus-3; now Bengals minus-2.5
Total: Opened 41; now 43

Jay Kornegay says:


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Evan Abrams has been working in sports information and analytics for the past decade in New Jersey, New York, and Las Vegas. Born and raised in New York City, Abrams graduated from Indiana University.