Championship game upset chances

What are the upset odds for the Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons?

Originally Published: January 15, 2013
By Nik Bonaddio and Keith Goldner | numberFire
Colin KaepernickHarry How/Getty ImagesThe spotlight will be on Colin Kaepernick again this weekend against the Atlanta Falcons.

Last week, we rolled out our upset odds for the divisional round of the playoffs. We had the San Francisco 49ers and New England Patriots as solid favorites to win, with the Seattle Seahawks at just over 50 percent to pull off the upset. After coming out soft, the Seahawks stormed back, only to have Matt Ryan put together a game-winning field goal drive by his Atlanta Falcons in the final seconds. The Baltimore Ravens had only a 27.4 percent chance to take down the mighty Denver Broncos at Mile High, but managed to complete the challenge, extending Ray Lewis' career thanks in part to some pretty large gaffes by the Broncos.

This week, we look ahead to the AFC and NFC championship games. Four teams remain: San Francisco, Atlanta, Baltimore and New England. Using our advanced metrics, we project the rest of the postseason.

Please note that all rankings refer to the opponent-adjusted efficiency as calculated by numberFire, not the gross yardage.

NFC


To see the upset chances for each underdog -- and to find out which teams will advance -- you must be an ESPN Insider.