If Super Bowl history has taught us anything, it is that the old cliché about the importance of winning the turnover battle is spot on. For proof, consider that 31 of 34 teams that came out ahead in that statistic have also finished in front on the scoreboard on Super Sunday.
At first glance, that trend would seem to favor a Saints victory in many ways. New Orleans' 39 takeaways were the second most in the league and the Saints' interception total (26) was just as high as the Indianapolis Colts' takeaway total.
The good news for the Old Gold and Black doesn't stop there, either. Peyton Manning's 2.8 percent interception rate this year was his highest total in that category since 2002 and he threw at least one pick in eleven games. Contrast that to Drew Brees' 2.1 percent interception rate (third-lowest of his career) and seven interception-free games and it seems to bode very well for New Orleans' chances of pulling off an upset.
Then, I looked at the bad decision percentages for both quarterbacks and things changed.