FBO: A big uphill battle for the Jets
Almost every angle of the AFC title game says Indy will be in Miami
Every Thursday during the NFL season, Football Outsiders president Aaron Schatz writes an article for ESPN.com previewing that weekend's action from the standpoint of unique FBO metrics. For a better understanding of those metrics, click here. Below is the AFC/NFC title game edition. Enjoy.
AFC Championship: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts
Both of these defenses are much better against the pass than the run on third and fourth down. The Jets were the best defense against third-down passing during the regular season -- but ranked 25th against the run. The Colts ranked third against passes on third and fourth down but 21st against the run.
OK, so we gave you some info for free. Now -- if you want the full thing, which is a ton of info that could you help pick, predict, even bet this game -- you need to be an ESPN Insider. We'll tell you this much: if you're a Jets fan, it doesn't look good. BUT -- but! -- there's a glimmer of hope. You'd also know that if you were an Insider. So c'mon.
2009 NFL PLAYOFFS: ROAD TO MIAMI