Commentary

FBO: A big uphill battle for the Jets

Almost every angle of the AFC title game says Indy will be in Miami

Updated: January 21, 2010, 11:49 AM ET
By Aaron Schatz | Football Outsiders
Getty ImagesIn limited action versus the Jets this season, Freeney still was a beast. He'll be a major player Sunday.

Every Thursday during the NFL season, Football Outsiders president Aaron Schatz writes an article for ESPN.com previewing that weekend's action from the standpoint of unique FBO metrics. For a better understanding of those metrics, click here. Below is the AFC/NFC title game edition. Enjoy.

AFC Championship: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

Both of these defenses are much better against the pass than the run on third and fourth down. The Jets were the best defense against third-down passing during the regular season -- but ranked 25th against the run. The Colts ranked third against passes on third and fourth down but 21st against the run.