Commentary

FBO: Crunching the Week 8 numbers

Philly needs to get the Wildcat going -- and Aaron Rodgers may be in trouble

Originally Published: October 29, 2009
By Aaron Schatz | Football Outsiders

Each week, Football Outsiders takes a look at every game on the NFL schedule with a mix of interesting numbers and in-depth statistical analysis. Much of the analysis is based on DVOA, which takes every single play during the season and compares it to the league average based on situation and opponent. DVOA and Football Outsiders' other advanced stats are explained here.

Sunday 1:00 p.m. ET games

Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills

Houston has the worst defense in the league in the first half of games -- but it improves to league-average after halftime. According to Football Outsiders' stats, Houston's Steve Slaton leads all running backs in receiving value (144 DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement) but is dead last in rushing value (minus-146 DYAR).


To go deeper inside the numbers with Football Outsiders -- looking at key elements to the MIN/GB and NYG/PHI contests, as well as every other game -- you must be an ESPN Insider.

Aaron Schatz

  • NFL analyst for ESPN Insider
  • Founder of Footballoutsiders.com
  • Contributes regularly to "Numbers Never Lie"

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