Losing draft pick or picks may hurt more than expected

Maybe it doesn't seem like much, but losing the draft pick(s) will hurt New England more than it seems.

Updated: September 14, 2007, 7:23 PM ET
By Todd McShay and Steve Muench | Scouts Inc.
The NFL's spying scandal came to end when Commissioner Roger Goodell fined New England head coach Bill Belichick the NFL maximum $500,000, the Patriots $250,000 and took away conditional draft picks. If New England makes it to the playoffs, it loses its first-round pick in 2008. If it misses the playoffs, it forfeits its second- and third-round picks in 2008.

Obviously, Belichick and team owner Bob Kraft have deep enough pockets that they can simply write Goodell a quick check. So while the fines are impressive and clearly discourage this type of behavior in the future, they should have no impact on the on-field product. And there's reason to believe losing the draft picks will leave a minor blemish on this organization. After all, the Patriots acquired a first-round pick from San Francisco and a third-round pick from Oakland in trades last year.

Now that doesn't mean Goodell's ruling is soft. In fact, it forces New England to alter a key draft-day strategy and could penalize it for acting out of character during free agency last year.

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Steve Muench played four years of Division I-AA football before joining Scouts Inc. in 2002. He has evaluated both NFL and college players for Scouts Inc., but his current focus is on the NFL draft.