Commentary

Relative calm before the bowls

USC QB Matt Barkley on the verge of dropping out of the top 32

Originally Published: December 19, 2012
By Todd McShay | Scouts Inc.
Matt BarkleyCal Sport Media/AP ImagesMatt Barkley, who once was atop the top 32, has nearly fallen out of it.

We've had two bowl games so far and neither bowl featured a player in our top 32. So, there won't be much shuffling on this list this week.

That's not to say, though, there hasn't been some movement. We've had Texas A&M DE Damontre Moore, Alabama OG Chance Warmack and Texas A&M OT Luke Joeckel move up while Georgia's Jarvis Jones slides to No. 5.

There has also been movement at the back end of the top 32 because of two new entries: UCLA OLB Anthony Barr and Alabama OLB C.J. Mosley, both of whom I mentioned in last week's Nickel Package as potential first-round picks. The biggest mover, and not in a good way, was USC QB Matt Barkley, who has nearly tumbled out of the top 32. This week's Nickel Package explains why Barkley is such an enigma.

(Update: Mosley has announced he will return to Alabama for his senior season. We have updated the list by removing Mosley and adding Tennessee wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson.)

Here is a look at the entire list, with draft-eligible non-seniors noted with an asterisk:

Big Board Bar

1
DT
6-3
320

Analysis: Lotulelei is the most complete defensive lineman in the class in terms of physical tools. He dominates interior offensive linemen with his blend of quickness and power. He shows strong hands, nimble feet and the ability to quickly discard blockers, and he has impressive lateral range. Lotulelei needs some polish as a pass-rusher, but his natural gifts are clearly a cut above. Previously: 1

2
DE
6-4
248

Analysis: He is a versatile prospect who can play outside linebacker in a 3-4, right or left end in a 4-3 and even move inside to rush the passer from the interior. Moore is quick and fluid as a pass-rusher, is able to hold up against the run and plays hard. Previously: 3

3
OG
6-2⅜
325

Analysis: Warmack is a big, strong, nasty lineman with good smarts and athleticism. He shows awareness, is an easy mover in pass protection and has power as a run-blocker. The best guard I've evaluated in the past decade, Warmack is the rare interior lineman worthy of a top-10 overall pick. Previously: 4

4
OT
6-5¾
306

Analysis: Joeckel has fared well against the likes of Alabama and LSU this season. His balance and ability to recover in pass protection stand out, and he takes good angles and is able to get to the second level in the run game. Previously: 5

5
OLB
6-2
242

Analysis: Going from No. 2 to No. 5 may seem like a big drop, but it's really not. The closer we get to draft there will be more concern about his durability. But he still a great player. Jones has been a steady performer on a defense loaded with NFL prospects. He is a good overall athlete and top-notch pass-rusher, has impressive range in pass coverage and against the run, and can line up all over the defensive formation. Previously: 2