As a general rule for me, overall productivity is less an indicator of an NFL future than big plays. But don't oversimplify the idea of a big play. I look for the guy who can do more than the play was designed to allow on offense and the guy who can disrupt the play the most and seemingly can't be schemed around on defense. But productivity matters, and big totals always beg for a closer examination.
This year, Oklahoma State's Justin Blackmon fits the profile of a guy whose totals have demanded a closer look. The result being: He has shown that he's far more than a stat-hound. Blackmon combines immense productivity with explosiveness in the great Cowboys' offense (which isn't just an air show but maintains solid balance). The draft-eligible sophomore makes his first appearance on the Board this week. There are other significant movements this week, so take a look. As always, juniors and draft-eligible sophomores are noted with an asterisk.
And have a happy Thanksgiving.
Analysis: With a comp. percentage up a full 10 points, he balances improvement and refinement. Question is whether the top pick-holder needs a QB. Last week: No. 1
Analysis: His 23 TFL have created minus-150 yards. A tremendous physical talent, who has shown a steady relentlessness this year. Biggest riser all year. Last week: No. 3
Analysis: Green has been mostly unstoppable even with a young QB and was totally dominant on a big stage Saturday, which I discuss here. Last week: No. 2
Analysis: More than a freak athlete, Peterson has continued to improve his technical cover skills. Mixed reports on exact size but has safety size, corner speed. Last week: No. 4
Analysis: I'd be more concerned about Amukamara's zero interceptions in 2010 if any quarterback was willing to challenge him. A gifted technician. Last week: No. 5