Kiper's 'Grade A' Draft: AFC
Building off his Round 1 mock, Mel assessess needs and pick options in Rounds 2 and 3
You've already seen my first mock draft. Now it's time to take it further. Every year I hand out grades after the draft, and I even handed out draft grades this year after a full season. What gets you a good grade?
It's a combination of addressing needs and drafting for value. You can do well if you properly address a huge need with a high pick, like Detroit did by taking Matthew Stafford at first overall. But if you address a need with a poor pick in terms of value -- like Kansas City drafting Tyson Jackson last year at No. 3, a good player, but available later -- it hurts your grade, particularly when you have multiple needs. If you address needs and get good value, such as Green Bay with B.J. Raji and Clay Matthews Jr., you've nailed it.
So here's a primer, an early look at what could get teams an "A." I have lined up teams, their top needs, their first-round pick and then some possible second- and third-round picks. Again, these will change -- perhaps greatly -- as we get results from the Senior Bowl, the NFL combine and other workouts. Even some needs could change, but let's just say we can build from here and do it all again later. You'll see that some teams will have second- and third-round pick options overlap, as players are slotted there based on current grades.
AFC | NFC
AFC East
New England Patriots
Top needs: A 3-4 DE, OLB, RB, WR, OL
First round (22): OLB Ricky Sapp
Second-round options (44, 47, 53): DE Greg Hardy, RB Ryan Mathews, OT Charles Brown, LB Sean Weatherspoon, WR Brandon LaFell, WR Damian Williams, QB Tim Tebow
Third-round options: No third-round picks
Summary: The Patriots are set up for a huge weekend, with lots of high-value picks in a deep draft. At No. 22 they get value at their second-biggest need with Sapp (OLB in a 3-4) and then could go after a natural (and versatile) 3-4 DE like Hardy in Round 2. But they also can add a solid RB with Mathews and another good LB before addressing WR with the last of three picks in Round 2. With Julian Edelman's growth behind Wes Welker as a slot guy, I think they could look for a better downfield threat to back up the aging Randy Moss. Williams was in a pro-style offense and could be a good get in the late second. They could also take a good tackle in Round 2 if they don't like the WR value left at that stage. Tebow? He'd be a bad value here, and I highly doubt it, but hey, they have three picks ...
If you want to see what the rest of the AFC should in the early "need" rounds, you must be an ESPN Insider.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
- ESPN NFL Draft analyst since 1984
- Contributes to SportsCenter and ESPN Radio
- Writes weekly for ESPN Insider
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE NFL HEADLINES
- Report: NFL calls for immediate HGH testing
- Goodson legal issues predate recent arrest
- Pack's Rodgers: Urlacher favorite opponent
- Vick says he's still NFL's fastest quarterback
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
2010 NFL Draft
Who will rise to the top of the 2010 NFL draft? Insider follows the top players all season long.
Mock Drafts
- 4/22: McShay final first-round mock
- 4/22: Kiper final first-round mock
- 4/21: Scouts Inc. seven-round mock
- 4/19: McShay's first-round Mock Draft
- 4/14: 4-round AFC mock | NFC
- 4/7: Kiper and McShay Mock Draft 4.0
- 3/10: Kiper and McShay Mock Draft 3.0
- 2/17: Mel Kiper's Mock Draft #2
- 2/10: Todd McShay's Mock Draft #2
- 1/27: Kiper's 'Grade A' Draft: AFC | NFC
- 1/20: Mel Kiper's Mock Draft #1
- 12/15: Todd McShay's Mock Draft #1
Mel Kiper
- Mel Kiper Mock Draft Experience
- The Big Board (4/21)
- The Big Board Tracker (4/21)
- Top five by position: 2010 | 2011 (4/21)
- The Big Board (4/14)
- The Big Board (4/7)
- The Big Board (3/31)
- The Big Board (3/24)
- The Big Board (3/17)
- The Big Board (3/10)
- The Big Board (3/5)
- The Big Board (2/24)
- 2/25: Kiper's Mel-bag
- The Big Board (2/17)
- 2/12: Kiper's Mel-bag: Clausen or Bradford?
- The Big Board (2/10)
- 2/4: Kiper's Mel-bag
- The Big Board (1/27)
- The Big Board (1/20)
- The Big Board (1/13)
- 1/11: Bowl risers and fallers
- 1/8: Jevan Snead's big mistake
- The Big Board (1/6)
- The Big Board (12/31)
- 12/23: Regrading the 2009 NFL draft
- The Big Board (12/23)
- The Big Board (12/16)
- The Big Board (12/9)
- The Big Board (12/2)
- The Big Board (11/25)
- The Big Board (11/18)
- The Big Board (11/11)
- The Big Board (11/4)
- The Big Board (10/28)
- The Big Board (10/21)
- The Big Board (10/14)
- The Big Board (10/7)
- The Big Board (9/30)
- The Big Board (9/23)
- The Big Board (9/16)
- The Big Board (9/9)
Todd McShay and Scouts Inc.
- 4/13: Master draft board: Offense | Defense
- 4/9: Injury not a concern for Clausen
- 4/7: Rolle showing dedication to football
- 2/12: Four most common draft mistakes
- 2/9: Offseason team needs: AFC | NFC
- Player Rankings: Top 100
- NFL Draft Blog (updated daily)
- Cheat Sheets: QB | RB | WR | TE | OL
- Cheat Sheets: DL | LB | DB
KC Joyner
- 2/9: The Draft Lab: Jimmy Clausen
- 1/19: The Draft Lab: Brian Price
- 1/12: The Draft Lab: Jevan Snead
- 1/5: The Draft Lab: Derrick Morgan
- 12/29: The Draft Lab: Dan Williams
- 12/22: The Draft Lab: Bruce Campbell
- 12/15: The Draft Lab: Anthony Davis
- 12/8: The Draft Lab: Tim Tebow
- 12/1: The Draft Lab: Ndamukong Suh
- 11/24: The Draft Lab: Rolando McClain
- 11/17: The Draft Lab: Trent Williams
- 11/10: The Draft Lab: Gerald McCoy
- 11/3: The Draft Lab: Terrence Cody
- 10/27: The Draft Lab: Marvin Austin
- 10/20: The Draft Lab: Navorro Bowman
- 10/6: The Draft Lab: Brandon Lang
- 9/29: The Draft Lab: George Selvie
- 9/22: The Draft Lab: Cornerbacks and size
- 9/15: The Draft Lab: Patrick Robinson
- Bowen: 5 second-year breakout candidates
- Sprow: Namath wrong, Smith pick smart
- Joyner: 5 fantasy breakout players
- Red Flags: NFC East | North | South | West
- Kiper: 2014 Big Board | Top TEs | OLBs | ILBs

