Commentary

Stafford could face letdown on draft day

Originally Published: March 30, 2009
By Bill Barnwell | Football Outsiders
How could you end up with $22 million and still be grossly disappointed?

If you want to give it a shot, try being Georgia quarterback Matthew Stafford on draft day.Stafford, the projected No. 1 overall pick in most mock drafts, would be in line for the biggest contract in the history of the NFL draft. Miami OT Jake Long signed a five-year, $57 million deal last year as the first pick and Stafford would expect to receive about 5 percent more than Long's pick just by virtue of the draft's yearly inflation, and when you consider that quarterbacks are often higher-paid in draft slots than other players, Stafford could see a contract beyond $60 million for five years.

However, if he falls, the descent could be steep. He could end up at No. 4 to the Seahawks and get a deal closer to $53 million. If he dropped all the way to San Francisco at No. 10, he'd likely see a deal in the range of $22 million, costing him about 65 percent of the money he'd have earned if the Lions took him with the first pick.

To continue reading this article you must be an Insider

Bill Barnwell (@billbarnwell) is a staff writer for Grantland.