Numbers show Carr ready to succeed

I just finished reading PFW writer Jeff Reynolds' piece on the QB class of 2002 (David Carr, Joey Harrington and Patrick Ramsey) and thought it would be interesting to take a look at their 2004 performance metrics and see what story they told.

When I break down game tape, I am looking to answer specific questions that the standard play-by-play sheet doesn't measure. For QBs, some of the basic questions I am looking to answer include:

• How often does a QB throw a short, medium, or deep pass? What is his completion percentage at each of these levels? (For more on the passing tree, click here)
• How often does a QB throw to an open receiver, and how often does he force the ball into coverage?
• How often does a QB make a bad decision? Does he force passes into coverage? Does he try to throw the ball while being sacked? Does he stare at receivers?
• How accurate are a QB's passes? We can easily track a QB's completion percentage, but I also want to know how often he throws a pass the receiver can catch.

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