- Brian Fremeau, ESPN Insider
When college football fans think about home-field advantage, most conjure up memories of palpable, emotional experiences in the deafening stadiums of their favorite team. Big-time moments in big-time games, under the lights in intimidating environments from Happy Valley to Autzen. Our instincts tell us that the biggest stadiums with the most boisterous crowds have the greatest impact on the results on the field. But do the numbers tell us otherwise?
Home-field advantage is one of the trickiest elements of a football game to measure with precision. For example, when the Auburn Tigers beat Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at home by 49 points in September, did that result have anything to do with a measurable Auburn advantage of playing the game at Jordan-Hare Stadium? Probably not, but when Cam Newton & Co. edged the LSU Tigers by a touchdown a few weeks later, being at home may have played an important role.
For this exercise, we compared actual performance versus expected performance to isolate that answer and extract home-field advantage -- and separately, "road-field" disadvantage -- for each team. The results were predictable for several teams, and very surprising for others.
The biggest shocker involves the fact that the Ohio State Buckeyes and Texas Longhorns -- two historically dominant programs that play in front of massive, rowdy home crowds -- rank in the bottom 10 of the entire country in home-field advantage. In other words, the boost (or lack thereof) these two teams get from playing at home is comparable to that of the Duke Blue Devils.
And the Bucks and Horns weren't the only storied programs to find themselves in poor shape in the home-field advantage standings. Here is the complete list of the nation's 10 best and 10 worst teams in adjusted home-field advantage:
Brian Fremeau of Football Outsiders creates a new way to evaluate home and road performance and ranks the best and worst teams in both categories, producing some very surprising results.