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The value of recruiting

According to Football Outsiders, it matters even more than you might think

Updated: February 3, 2010, 10:21 AM ET
By Bill Connelly | Football Outsiders
Getty ImagesChris Johnson was barely recruited out of high school. He ended up fine.

During April's NFL draft, when a former two-star recruit inevitably finds his way into the top 10 (like Jason Smith and Aaron Curry did last year), the debate begins anew: Does recruiting really matter?

The short answer: yes. This article takes a look at how much.