Updated: November 18, 2009, 5:18 PM ET

2009's most erratic teams

Football Outsiders' stats show which teams have been the least, and most, consistent

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By Bill Connelley
Football Outsiders
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The Big Game looms this weekend for Stanford and California, but thanks in part to California's seemingly inconsistent play, it has been hard to get a read for who has an advantage. Jeff Tedford's Golden Bears have proved they are a capable team by beating No. 17 Arizona without Jahvid Best and scoring 94 combined points against UCLA and Washington State. But they also scored a combined six points against Oregon and USC.

Cal has built a reputation for up-and-down play, but in terms of week-to-week performance, have they really been any less consistent than anybody else? Not really. In fact, they aren't even in the top 5 most inconsistent teams. Let us explain.

To read Football Outsiders analysis of the year's most consistent -- and inconsistent -- teams, you must be an Insider.