Auburn holds edge in title game
Believe it or not, Auburn's offense has been more consistent than Oregon's
No matter what metrics you choose to use, the offenses of the Oregon Ducks and Auburn Tigers were fantastic in 2010. Oregon scored at least 37 points in 11 of 12 games, and at least 48 in eight. Auburn, led by Heisman-winning quarterback Cam Newton, scored at least 49 points seven times; since 2005, only the Florida Gators in 2007 have managed a stronger full-season Offensive S&P+ rating than Auburn's current rating of 156. Both teams ranked in the top five nationally in rushing and the top 16 in passing efficiency, and even though schedule adjustments punish Oregon's efforts a bit, the offensive upside in this matchup is enormous.
If these two offenses find their rhythm (which sometimes takes a while after the pre-bowl break), it is easy to liken this matchup to that of a tennis match between two big servers. Failure to score, like a broken serve, could be devastating; a prolonged funk of multiple possessions could be fatal. So, which team is less likely to fall into said funk?
Our primary efficiency measure at Football Outsiders is success rate, as defined here. The national average for success rates in 2010 was 42.2 percent. As would be expected, both Auburn and Oregon measured out well above the national average. Auburn's success rate was 52.7 percent, Oregon's 48.5 percent.
However, offenses can sometimes fall in and out of rhythm. How consistently efficient were Auburn and Oregon?
To read more about which team will win the BCS championship game, you must be an ESPN Insider.
MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL HEADLINES
- Sources: Oklahoma St. limits QB Lunt's options
- For Irish, may be BCS or bust for bowl spot
- Saban: 'Devil' words 'terribly disappointing'
- Running back Richardson will leave Virginia
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
Insider CFB content
Expert Takes• Kiper: Top prospects for 2014, by position
• Haney: CFB's top 10 teams based on talent
• Kiper: Top QB prospects for 2014 | RBs | WRs
• Haney: Make-or-break QB prospect scenarios
• Joyner: Prospects set for breakout seasons
• Haney: Prospects who can elevate programs
Post-spring projections• Pac-12: Oregon, Stanford, USC on top
• ACC: Can Clemson win the league title?
• SEC: Bama, South Carolina early favorites
• Big Ten: Surprise winner in Legends
• Big 12: Two-team race for first place
RecruitingNation• Michigan No. 1 in 2014 class rankings
• Luginbill: Answering mailbag questions
• Crabtree: Urban recruits popular draft picks
• Notre Dame, Boise State trending up
• Recruiting updates for Pac-12 teams
• Recruiting updates for Big Ten teams
• Recruiting updates for SEC teams
• Recruiting updates for ACC teams
• Recruiting updates for Big East teams
• Recruiting updates for Big 12 teams
Get news and rumblings before anyone
Travis Haney's blog
Analysis and buzz from around the nation