Commentary

Giant Killing in the East

One huge upset looms above all others, while a high seed dodges a bullet

Updated: March 16, 2010, 12:30 PM ET
By Jordan Brenner and Peter Keating | ESPN Insider

As we promised in the Giant Killers blog, on Monday we begin detailed breakdowns of all the first-round games with GK implications. In case you've forgotten, a Giant Killer is a team that beats an opponent seeded at least five spots better and doesn't come from a BCS conference. Other teams -- Gonzaga, Butler, BYU, Xavier, Northern Iowa and Temple -- are excluded, too. Check out our methodology for a full explanation. Our model generates statistical ratings that compare potential Giant Killers to past Davids as well as all Giants to the Goliaths who were slain. Those ratings enable us to predict the chances of an upset in each matchup, and this year looks like a doozy. For starters, here's the East, featuring the best shot at a major upset we've seen in a many a GK season.


To see which game is the likeliest first-round upset and how the rest of the East will shake out, you must be an ESPN Insider.

Jordan Brenner | email

ESPN The Magazine contributing writer
Brenner writes for ESPN The Magazine and ESPN Insider. He covers the NBA and college basketball.
Peter Keating is a senior writer at ESPN The Magazine, where he covers investigative and statistical subjects. He started writing "The Biz," a column looking at sports business from the fan's point of view, in 1999. He also coordinates the Magazine's annual "Ultimate Standings" project, which ranks all pro franchises according to how much they give back to fans. His work on concussions in football has earned awards from the Deadline Club, the New York Press Club and the Center for the Study of Sport in Society.