Commentary

An early look at the NCAA tournament

Joe Lunardi's first 'Rundown' of the season projects new bubbles and new teams

Originally Published: November 10, 2010
By Joe Lunardi | Special to ESPN.com
Getty ImagesSean Miller and the Wildcats are one of 19 teams that could be dancing in March 2011 after not dancing in 2010.

Welcome to the new, expanded edition of Joe Lunardi's Rundown; come 2011, this will again feature "Tournament Odds," which debuted last season.

The most significant change in this season's Rundown involves the new "First Four" round instituted for the 2011 NCAA tournament.

Our inaugural "First Four" projected below pairs the last four at-large entries in the expanded 68-team field (for two games) along with the last four automatic qualifiers (for two more games). The winners of these four contests, to be played Mar. 15-16 in Dayton, Ohio, will advance into the standard 64-team bracket on the seed lines indicated.

The NCAA hasn't specifically addressed how it will handle those games. Instead, these are projections based on the current constraints laid out by the NCAA: teams from the same conference facing each other, home-court advantage, etc. The formula could change, but this is our best educated guess for now.

We have this:

WEST 12: Texas A&M (Big 12) vs. Northwestern (Big Ten)

SOUTHEAST 13: Louisville (Big East) vs. Missouri State (MVC)

EAST 16: Boston University (America East) vs. American University (Patriot)

SOUTHEAST 16: Quinnipiac (NEC) vs. Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

Joe Lunardi | email

Senior Writer, ESPN.com