Duke now angling for No. 1 seed
The bubble is shrinking, and shrinking fast
Welcome to the new, expanded edition of Joe Lunardi's Rundown, featuring his latest bracket breakthrough, Tournament Odds.
How is it different from Bracketology? With Bracketology, Lunardi tells you how the bracket looks on that specific day.
With Tournament Odds, Lunardi tells you how the bracket is likely to look come Selection Sunday, by comparing current teams with those in his extensive database of prior seasons.
The Race for the Top
The issue today is Robbie Hummel's season-ending injury and its eventual impact on Purdue. What the committee should and will do in this case is conduct a separate evaluation of the Boilermakers from this point forward. It's not that Purdue's great work up to now will be ignored, but that the committee must answer the very difficult question of whether or not the Boilers are one of the "four best teams" without Hummel.
The Tourney Odds program, with a little help from yours truly, is just beginning to reflect Purdue's new reality.
To see the rest of Joe Lunardi's Rundown and Odds report, you must be an ESPN Insider.
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- Resident college basketball bracketologist for ESPN
- Contributor to SportsCenter, ESPN Insider
- Published first public bracket in 1995
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Insider's Bracket Bundle

Insider helps college basketball fans stay on top of the NCAA tournament field as it forms.
Joe Lunardi: Behind the Bracket 
Insiders get Bracketology details the rest of the public doesn't. See which teams and which games are impacting the bracket, why it's moving and what may happen next.
Lunardi's Tournament Odds/Rundown 
Bracketology tells you only how the bracket looks on that day. Lunardi's odds tell you how it's likely to look come Selection Sunday.
Bubble Insider 
See which bubble teams are bound to get bounced and which are likely to crack the field of 65.
- The value of the signature win
- Pac-10's two-team bid busted already?
- Predicting how Big East bubble bounces
- 21 teams, 7 bids, and UConn can still surprise
- Va. Tech's body of work: poor
- The Big East's quest for nine bids
- All roads lead to Saturday
- Without one, UAB, URI could be done
- Bubble teams with the best shot at bids
- Magic numbers to secure bids
- Lessons from the Last Four In
Inside the Bracket 
Hard-core analysis of squads set to endure the Madness of March.
- Michigan State's Achilles' heel
- Derrick Favors' interior impact
- Purdue should pound the paint
- Inexperience isn't UNC's problem
- How Tennessee can clip Kentucky
- Buckeyes are far better than their stats
- Georgetown's identity crisis
- How Siena stops Butler
- Louisville's secret weapon
- Texas needs a Pittman pickup
- Syracuse's special skill
- Kansas can turn back clock to '08
- Nova's Final Four repeat roadblock
Regional Breakdowns 
See how the teams stack up in each region of Bracketology.
Resources
- Gasaway: Big Ten doing more with less
- Gasaway: Previewing the new ACC
- Telep: Maryland's local recruiting success
- RN: Class rankings | SEC | Big Ten | Big East
- Draft: Ford's top 30 prospects | Bilas' top 30

