Giant Killers: I know who's gonna kill me

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As part of our ongoing Giant Killers series, analyzing NCAA tournament upsets, we take a look at the 10 most likely assassins generated by our model. Behold. And beware. (For a free preview of Giant Killers, click here.)

Niagara Purple Eagles (50.2%) The Purple Eagles are probably NIT-bound after losing to Siena in the MAAC tournament title game, but if they somehow sneak in with an at-large bid, they have the ideal makeup to take down a higher-ranked foe. Allowing few turnovers keeps the ball in their hands. So does monstrous glasswork -- led by seniors Bilal Benn and 6-foot-10, 245-pound Benson Egemonye -- that generates offensive rebounds on 38.6 percent of possessions, according to Ken Pomeroy's fantastic site.

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Peter Keating

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Peter Keating is a senior writer at ESPN The Magazine, where he covers investigative and statistical subjects. He started writing "The Biz," a column looking at sports business from the fan's point of view, in 1999. He also coordinates the Magazine's annual "Ultimate Standings" project, which ranks all pro franchises according to how much they give back to fans. His work on concussions in football has earned awards from the Deadline Club, the New York Press Club and the Center for the Study of Sport in Society.