Who do you think will start as freshmen? 
April, 21, 2011
04/21/11
4:24
PM ET
By Dave Telep, ESPN Recruiting
Just shooting 3's ...
1. Just the facts, please
On Wednesday, super intern Drew Cannon dropped major knowledge. He calculated that player's we've ranked 26-50 have a 36 percent chance of starting as a freshman. Cannon's research also yielded this nugget: A top 10 player as a freshman has a 50-50 chance to be an all-conference player. By the way, there are times when guys are lottery picks and not all-conference players, so there's a discrepancy between potential and production when it comes to the draft. Players ranked 11-25 have a 50 percent chance to start for a high-major team. Think about that.
On Wednesday, super intern Drew Cannon dropped major knowledge. He calculated that player's we've ranked 26-50 have a 36 percent chance of starting as a freshman. Cannon's research also yielded this nugget: A top 10 player as a freshman has a 50-50 chance to be an all-conference player. By the way, there are times when guys are lottery picks and not all-conference players, so there's a discrepancy between potential and production when it comes to the draft. Players ranked 11-25 have a 50 percent chance to start for a high-major team. Think about that.
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ABOUT THIS BLOG
Dave TelepDave Telep is the senior basketball recruiting analyst for ESPN.com. His college basketball scouting service is used by more than 225 colleges and numerous NBA teams. He can be reached at espndt@gmail.com. Don't forget to follow him on Twitter.
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