If memory serves, we first began the exercise of post-Final Four bracketing in 2005. I remember this because one of our way-too-early choices for a No. 1 seed in 2005-06 was Villanova, leading to some predictable comments about East Coast (or, in my case, Philadelphia) bias.
Well, Villanova did become a No. 1 seed in 2006, along with two more of our year-in-advance selections (UConn and Duke). In the six years after that, we hit an average of two No. 1 seeds per season and managed at least one correct selection every year. Truth be told, it isn't that hard.
What we're saying is that at least one team from our pre-preseason ranking of the top four in the country is going to be a No. 1 seed the following March. It's really not a high standard when you think about it.
The top seeds in today's bracket -- our first for the 2013 NCAA tournament -- are the least likely potential No. 1s in recent memory. If forced to bet, I would take the field against this group.
To see the rest of Joe Lunardi's analysis, become an ESPN Insider today.