Upset odds for Sunday's games 

March, 17, 2012
03/17/12
12:35
PM ET

When last we left you, we were analyzing a historic win by Norfolk State, rushing to publish the blog entry and planning to settle in for a tranquil night of hoops after a long week of work.

Oops.

First, Norfolk State found a companion in Lehigh. Then our model took a bow when it nailed Ohio over Michigan. Just when we were prepping to see how the Bobcats might match up with Temple, South Florida found its offense and set up a 12 vs. 13 battle, meaning it has no GK significance. Memphis and Saint Louis flip-flopped for the right to wage a GK war with Michigan State. And another comeback left Xavier as a Giant in the next round.

Madness, indeed.

You can read yesterday's blog by clicking here for a preview of Norfolk State and Florida, while we look ahead to three other GK games on Sunday's slate -- and how they came to be.

The 15th-seeded Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Giant Killer rating of less than 2 on a 100-point scale) vs. the No. 10 Xavier Musketeers (40.5 vulnerability rating)
Upset chance: 10.1 percent


To see how likely it is that Lehigh, Saint Louis and Creighton will pull off upsets on Sunday, you must be an ESPN Insider.

Peter Keating is a senior writer at ESPN The Magazine, where he covers investigative and statistical subjects. He started writing "The Biz," a column looking at sports business from the fan's point of view, in 1999. He also coordinates the Magazine's annual "Ultimate Standings" project, which ranks all pro franchises according to how much they give back to fans. His work on concussions in football has earned awards from the Deadline Club, the New York Press Club and the Center for the Study of Sport in Society.

Jordan Brenner | email

ESPN The Magazine contributing writer
Brenner writes for ESPN The Magazine and ESPN Insider. He covers the NBA and college basketball.

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