Florida slightly favored in CWS final
South Carolina's marathon on Friday gives Gators the edge
Statistically, the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Florida Gators are dead even. The adjusted winning percentages that determine the College Splits Power Rankings are a nearly indistinguishable .797 (Gamecocks) and .788 (Gators), meaning that in any single game, South Carolina should have about a 51 percent chance of winning, and in a three-game series, that number edges all the way up to 52 percent. Not the kind of numbers that send you running to your bookie.
Of course, these percentages are based on an evaluation of the entire 2011 seasons of the two College World Series finalists, and they don't consider factors such as injury, fatigue and specific pitching matchups. Even if the overall stats point in the direction of South Carolina, these additional considerations tilt the scales in Florida's favor -- slightly more than 52 percent. However, the Gators need to strike first. If South Carolina pulls out a win in tonight's opening game, the entire complexion of the series will change.
College Baseball on Insider
Insider has assembled a team to expand college baseball coverage in 2011. ESPN columnists Ryan McGee, Jeff Bradley and draft expert Keith Law are joined by CollegeSplits.com's Jeff Sackmann and longtime expert Will Kimmey in breaking down the top trends and stories each week.