- Bradford Doolittle, ESPN Staff Writer
With the trade deadline nine days away, one of the most prevalent names that keeps circling the rumor mill is that of Orlando Magic sharpshooter J.J. Redick, whose actual availability is a matter of conjecture.
Redick has been the subject of trade scuttlebutt all season, and it's easy to understand why. He's one of the best in the league at the long-range shot, and that's a skill that no team can really have enough of. Redick is one of only 10 active shooters to have hit at least 40 percent of his career 3s (minimum of 500 makes.) He's a proven commodity.
Redick is also on an expiring contract and plays for a rebuilding team. A more obvious trade target, you will not find. Whether or not Orlando wants to trade Redick, NBA general managers might wear out the cell phone of Rob Hennigan, their Magic counterpart.
Over at ESPN Insider's Rumor Central, six teams have been mentioned as potential landing spots for Redick over the past month: the Boston Celtics, Milwaukee Bucks, New York Knicks, Chicago Bulls, Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets. That's five East teams chasing the Heat, plus a Nuggets squad trying to close the gap between themselves and the power teams atop the West standings.
The Knicks already rank second in the league in made 3s and sixth in percentage, and don't have much in the way of young assets, so we'll cut them out of the Redick sweepstakes. The Celtics need the backcourt help, but don't have the young pieces either or expiring contracts to make a deal work. They're out.
The other four squads rank in the bottom half of the league in successful 3s, so the need is obvious. The question is, for a team landing Redick, what kind of impact could it expect?
I took a stab at answering that by using ESPN's Trade Machine and plugging the reconfigured rosters into a simulation model. Here's who would benefit most from Redick's skills, or what we'll refer to as the "Redick Effect."
2hMarc Stein and Tim MacMahon
43mMarc Stein and Calvin Watkins