Projecting future Hall of Famers
Shaq and Payton should be next, but there's a long line after them
In Pro Basketball Prospectus 2010-11, I introduced a framework for identifying potential Hall of Famers based strictly on a player's work in the NBA. Of course, there are plenty of inductees in the Basketball Hall of Fame for other reasons, such as an outstanding college career (Ralph Sampson, Bill Walton), international prowess (Arvydas Sabonis) or success in the women's game (Ann Meyers). There are coaches, officials, owners, general managers and other contributors, including James Naismith himself. So there are lots of paths to the basketball hall, and for some it's a combination of factors that lead to enshrinement.
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