Projecting NBA playoff races

Examining postseason odds, likely seedings for the East and West

Updated: March 10, 2014, 12:22 PM ET
By Kevin Pelton | ESPN Insider

LeBron James and Paul GeorgeAndy Lyons/Getty ImagesThe Pacers' recent skid has them behind the Heat for the East's top seed, according to projections.

We're a little more than four weeks away from the end of the NBA regular season, but as the league enters the final month of the schedule, plenty remains up in the air.

There's a cluster of teams vying for home-court advantage in the East, while in the West a similar logjam is playing out at the bottom for the seventh and eighth seeds.

With the help of a thousand simulations of the remainder of the regular season (based on my "true talent" ratings), let's set the odds for how key races could play out.


Who claims the top seed in the East?