Commentary

Final 2013-14 SCHOENE Projections

Originally Published: October 28, 2013
By Kevin Pelton | ESPN.com

On the eve of the start of the 2013-14 NBA regular season, with rosters set, it's time for a last update to my SCHOENE projection system. As compared to the projected records in the team forecasts that have been posted the past month, these differ slightly because of rotation changes, injuries and Friday's trade between the Phoenix Suns and the Washington Wizards.

To give a better sense of the variability in these projections, I used them to simulate the season 1,000 times, including the playoffs. One new feature this year is a playoff-specific projection that strips out players at the end of the roster and assumes full health for all players. While these projections mostly mirror the regular-season version, in a handful of cases they make an important difference, which I'll note individually.


To continue reading this article you must be an Insider