Commentary

Unwrapping unforgettable Game 6

Updated: June 19, 2013, 3:04 PM ET
By Kevin Pelton | ESPN Insider

Tuesday night's Game 6 of the NBA Finals marked the first time since 1974's Game 6 that a potential championship-clinching game went to overtime. Getting there, and then forcing a deciding Game 7 on Thursday, required a pair of improbable comebacks by the Miami Heat in a game nobody who watched will ever forget. With so many twists in the plot, and so much at stake, there's plenty to discuss. Let's take a look at some of the most important questions.

How unlikely was Miami's comeback?

By all accounts, the title should have belonged to the San Antonio Spurs. Leading by four with possession and just 28 seconds remaining, the Spurs had a 98.5 percent chance of winning the game and the championship, according to Betting Market Analytics' in-game win probability. Put it another way: Before Manu Ginobili walked to the free throw line for two attempts (he'd split, giving Miami a slight opening for a comeback), the odds against the Heat winning were 66-1. That's how close we were to San Antonio finishing the game with a celebration.


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