The Heat prevailed 103-100 in overtime Tuesday after trailing by 10 at the start of the fourth quarter and were still down 5 with 21 seconds left in regulation. It was the 13th time they had avoided back-to-back losses since their losses on Jan. 8 and 10, but it was the first time in that stretch they had failed to cover the spread, as they closed as a 7-point home favorite.
As most people following the series know, these teams have alternated wins, with the Spurs winning the odd-numbered games and the Heat winning the even (note: The Heat also did this in the Eastern Conference finals against the Indiana Pacers and have alternated wins and losses for 13 straight games -- 12 if you don't count the first game, for the nitpickers out there). But Game 6 was the first time in the NBA Finals that the winning team didn't also cover and the point spread actually came into play. The over also is 4-2, as the first two games stayed under but the past four games have gone over the betting total (the Game 6 result comes with an asterisk, as the consensus over/under was 192 and it was tied 95-95 at the end of regulation).
Let's look at where the betting value lies in Game 7.