Commentary

Projecting the Mavs-Heat Finals

Dallas is league's hottest team, but Miami has been near the top all season long

Originally Published: May 27, 2011
By David Hess | TeamRankings.com
Mavericks V. HeatVictor Baldizon/NBAE/Getty ImagesDwyane Wade was Dirk Nowitzki's nemesis in 2006. Dirk gets another shot this season.

LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh scored the last 33 points against the Chicago Bulls on Thursday to give the Miami Heat the victory and the Eastern Conference title. The 2011 NBA Finals matchup, pitting the league's hottest team (the Dallas Mavericks) against one that came into the playoffs with one of the best chances to win the title (Miami), is now set.

While the Heat entered the playoffs with an 18 percent chance to win it all and the Mavs entered with only a 7 percent chance, things have changed a bit during the course of the postseason. Let's take a look at what to expect in the series, complete with our series win odds for every possible scenario.

The Heat is on

Dallas has played phenomenally well over the course of the playoffs, currently ranking first in the TeamRankings.com "Last 10 Games" power ratings, a schedule-strength adjusted indicator of momentum. However, when taking into account the entire season, the Heat still show themselves to be the better team.