UFC on Fox 4: Rua a strong bet

Davis too heavy a favorite; Machida and Bader evenly matched

Originally Published: August 2, 2012
By John Candido | FightMetric
Mauricio 'Shogun' RuaJosh Hedges/Zuffa LLC/Getty ImagesMauricio Rua wants another shot at Jon Jones and only declining Brandon Vera stands in his way.

In what was already a night of important light heavyweight action, the nationally televised UFC on Fox 4 was given greater significance with the announcement that the two light heavyweight fights at the top of the card will be an audition to determine who gets the next title shot in the division.

The two fights will consist of a main event between former belt holder Mauricio "Shogun" Rua and the struggling Brandon Vera, followed by one-time champion Lyoto Machida who will take on perennial prospect Ryan Bader. And with Phil Davis welcoming undefeated Wagner Prado into the UFC, the night should reveal a ton about the future of one of the most exciting divisions in the organization. We'll tell you which of these big names has the stats to back the odds they're being given and where to find value in the lines for Saturday night.

Lyoto Machida (minus-300) vs. Ryan Bader (plus-250)


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