UFC 149: Faber not a great bet

Lombard makes UFC debut, but value might be found with Boetsch

Originally Published: July 19, 2012
By John Candido | FightMetric
Urijah Faber and Renan BaraoGetty ImagesThough Urijah Faber, left, has experience on his side, he and Renan Barao are evenly matched.

UFC 149 will feature some of the most exciting fighters in MMA, though they won't be guys you've seen much of before in the Octagon.

For the most part, the major names Saturday night have gained their notoriety in other organizations. The main event will be reminiscent of one of the most classic fights in the history of WEC, Urijah Faber versus Jose Aldo. This time, however, it's Aldo's nearly undefeated phenom teammate, Renan Barao, who will be taking on the WEC legend "California Kid." In addition, one of the most coveted fighters outside UFC, Hector Lombard, will make his UFC debut against Tim Boetsch, who is coming off of a gigantic upset win against Yushin Okami.

Will Faber find a different outcome against Aldo's partner and will Lombard make a splash against a UFC-caliber underdog? We'll break down the numbers to find answers to those questions as we value the odds for Saturday night.

Hector Lombard (minus-350) vs. Tim Boetsch (plus-290)


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