How to bet UFC on Fox 11

Finding the wager value in Werdum vs. Browne and other fights

Updated: April 17, 2014, 7:04 PM ET
By John Candido | FightMetric

Travis BrowneDave Mandel/Sherdog.comTravis Browne faces off against Fabricio Werdum on Saturday night.

Aside from multiple title fights between Cain Velasquez and Junior Dos Santos, there hasn't been much in the way of compelling matchups in the UFC heavyweight division in the recent past. However, in the organization's 11th installment on Fox on Saturday, top contenders Travis Browne and Fabricio Werdum will be facing one another for the opportunity to serve as very legitimate contenders for the belt. Two of the most compelling names in the women's bantamweight division outside of Ronda Rousey, Miesha Tate and Liz Carmouche, will be co-heading the prime-time event as well.

Let's break down the statistics behind the fights to see where value may exist in the odds for Saturday night.

Travis Browne (minus-200) vs. Fabricio Werdum (minus-170)

Following a less than impressive victory against Alistair Overeem, in which he nearly was TKO'd, Browne almost certainly wouldn't have found himself at this price against the ever-improving Werdum. But following a devastating first-round KO/TKO victory against respected veteran Josh Barnett, bettors are convinced that not even a technical fighter like Werdum is safe against Browne. And they may be right, as the statistics tell a similar story.

Werdum is notable for being one of the most dangerous grapplers on the planet, having won the ADCC tournament on more than one occasion, and being the first man to finish then-formerly unbeaten Fedor Emelianenko by submission. Against Browne, however, Werdum's attempts to get this fight to a place where he can utilize his grappling strengths will put him into severe danger, as the task has been somewhat impossible. The most important statistic in this fight is the fact that Browne holds an incredible 100 percent takedown defense since entering the UFC.