How to bet Hendricks vs. Lawler

Finding the value in the main card of UFC 171, including the title bout

Updated: March 14, 2014, 12:29 PM ET
By John Candido | FightMetric

Robbie Lawler, Johny HendricksGetty ImagesRobbie Lawler and Johny Hendricks will be throwing some leather Saturday night.

For the first time since 2008, the UFC welterweight championship (non-interim) fight will not consist of Georges St-Pierre defending his title.

Instead, Johny Hendricks will take on veteran Robbie Lawler, who is at the peak of one of the most impressive career renaissances the sport has ever seen. After a highly controversial decision in his last fight against St-Pierre, at UFC 167, many feel Hendricks could already could be the rightful champ. Nonetheless, the vacated welterweight title is up for grabs.

Similarly, the top welterweight contenders after Hendricks and Lawler will do battle for the right to challenge the winner of the main event in the new champion's first title defense. Surging Tyron Woodley faces off against former interim champion Carlos Condit.

We'll break down the stats and numbers behind the fights to see who the likely new welterweight champ will be as well as to determine value for other fights on the card for Saturday night.



Johny Hendricks (minus-485) vs. Robbie Lawler (plus-385)


Controversial loss or not, Hendricks is earning the respect of a welterweight champion from fans and bettors alike, hence his sizable odds as the favorite in the title bout. And, although Lawler should make things interesting, Hendricks has the fundamentals and elite skill set to take the belt.

Robbie Lawler
Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC/Getty ImagesRobbie Lawler has extreme punching power, but so does Hendricks.