How to bet Barao vs. Faber II

Finding where the value lies in UFC 169, including the Aldo-Lamas fight

Updated: January 30, 2014, 4:59 PM ET
By John Candido | FightMetric

Renan Barao and Urijah Faber square off Saturday in the highly anticipated UFC 169.Nick Laham/Zuffa LLC/Getty ImagesRenan Barao and Urijah Faber square off again Saturday in the highly anticipated UFC 169.

When Renan Barao faced Urijah Faber for the interim bantamweight title in UFC 149, the fight was mostly a one-sided domination by the current champion. It appeared the need for a rematch would seem highly unnecessary. However, following an injury to original opponent Dominick Cruz and an impressive four-fight winning streak by Faber since last facing Barao, fans will see whether the "California Kid" has improved his game enough to bring something new to the table in the rematch.

In addition, featherweight champion and one of the sport's best, Jose Aldo, will be taking on surging contender Ricardo Lamas. We'll break down the lines to tell you whether there's any chance we could see a shake-up in title holders, as well as to find value in the other lines at UFC 169.


Renan Barao (minus-280) vs. Urijah Faber (plus-240)


In their first meeting, Faber looked outclassed in every aspect of the fight. But with the opportunity to step in for the injured Cruz, Faber will again get five rounds at the elusive Barao. And with four recent consecutive wins against top opponents, with three ending by submission, Faber arguably has earned this second title shot, despite the fact that he took the fight on short notice. Despite Faber's impressive win streak, the numbers still bear out the fact that the first event was no fluke, and that Barao is simply a much better fighter than Faber.