How to bet Johnson vs. Benavidez

Finding the value in UFC on Fox 9's main event and other bouts on the card

Updated: December 12, 2013, 1:11 PM ET
By John Candido | FightMetric

Benavidez/JohnsonTom Szczerbowski/USA TODAY SportsWho will prevail in the rematch between Demetrious Johnson (left) and Joseph Benavidez?

Some MMA fans claim that the lighter weight classes are inherently more exciting, and if this statement has any truth to it, then Saturday night's prime-time event should be quite a show, as the top class on the main card will be at lightweight.

Headlining UFC on Fox 9 will be the rematch between top flyweights Demetrious Johnson and Joseph Benavidez, who last met in a match for the then-interim belt. Given the close split decision in favor of Johnson, the second fight between the champ "Mighty Mouse" and viable contender Benavidez should deliver some of the highest technical ability in the sport.

The rest of the main card features a number of other top-level matches, including Urijah Faber versus Michael McDonald, Chad Mendes versus Nik Lentz and Joe Lauzon versus Mac Danzig.

We'll take a look at the stats and odds behind the fights to see whether Johnson has the skills to repeat his previous performance against Benavidez, in addition to finding value in the other fights on Saturday night.


Demetrious Johnson (minus-135) versus Joseph Benavidez (plus-115)


While the original fight might be a distant memory to many fans, clouded by the recent success of both fighters, the oddsmakers haven't forgotten just how close the first bout was, ending in a split-decision win for Johnson, the current champ. Since then, Johnson has defended his title twice, against some of the more dangerous strikers in the division. And with Benavidez winning two of his last three fights by KO/TKO, Johnson will again have to deal with one of the most dynamic forces at flyweight.


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