Five breakout hitters

Using batted ball data to predict which hitters will surge in 2013

Updated: April 6, 2013, 3:48 PM ET
By Ben Jedlovec | ESPN Insider
Freddie FreemanDale Zanine/USA TODAY SportsFreddie Freeman's fly ball tendency suggests big things from him for 2013.

The sabermetric movement has made great strides over the past decade, but every once in a while, we're reminded of how little we actually understand about the game of baseball. Jose Bautista's breakout 2010 season was one such reminder of how bad we are at predicting future performance. How can a hitter come from complete obscurity to hit 50 home runs in a season?

Turns out, something hinted at that breakout in 2009, and we can use that information to predict breakout seasons for 2013.


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