Does Texas' hot start mean much?

History shows that April success doesn't guarantee a great season

Updated: April 27, 2012, 11:27 AM ET
By Dave Cameron | FanGraphs
Josh HamiltonTim Heitman/US PresswireJosh Hamilton has been one of many bright spots for Texas so far this season.

As we head into the final days of April, there is no question which team has looked like the best club in baseball so far. The Texas Rangers are 15-4 and have scored more than twice as many runs (107) as they've allowed (52). Their offense (26.5 runs above average) and their bullpen (14.3 RAA) have been the best in baseball, while their starting pitching (28.5 RAA) has been the second-best in the sport.

The Rangers have been nothing short of dominant, and given how well they've played, you might have concluded that they're the best team in baseball.

That might be true, but history suggests that an outstanding win-loss record in April is often not a sign of things to come, and even the best starts to the season don't suggest that a team is truly set for a strong finish. Will Texas be different?