- Dan Szymborski, ESPN Insider
Today, we turn our attention to the American League, where there is a bit more disagreement between my computer and ESPN's experts.
As I did with the NL, I used Monte Carlo simulation to get estimated playoff probabilities derived from both the ZiPS and Forecaster projections. Division-by-division breakdowns can be found at the bottom.
Projections think Forecaster is underrating these teams
ZiPS isn't exactly known for being enthusiastic about recent Astros teams, projecting last year's squad to go 57-105, with their estimated shot at winning the World Series being worse than 1,000-to-1. The relatively optimistic ZiPS projection of 68 wins is a change of pace for a Houston forecast.
Dan Szymborski looks at his ZiPS standings projections to see which American League teams our Forecaster experts are overrating and underrating.