Five guys who aren't flukes
Michael Morse and others who have changed their career expectations
A prime-age superstar having a huge season is very rarely a shocker. Sure, Ryan Braun and Justin Verlander had career-year seasons in 2011, but was anyone really floored that either player had an MVP-type season in them? At the start of the year, everyone who paid attention expected star play, and both stars were taken early on fantasy draft days nationwide, almost always long before the beer supply ran out. If Braun or Verlander or any of baseball's glitterati have a bad 2012, they'll have plenty more chances to turn things around.
For mere mortals, however, opportunities to shine are fewer. While you're a top prospect, people talk about your upside, but when you don't have that label and the chances it comes with, the book on you tends to be difficult to rewrite. Nobody gets starry-eyed thinking about the possible upside of a 29-year-old veteran role player or a 24-year-old missing from all the top prospect lists.
But despite the odds, there are players who do find themselves in the right place at the right time and establish a new level of play. Jose Bautista is the best and most famous recent example, but here are five more players who have also drastically changed their career outlooks. Some people may still think they are flukes based on one good season, but their numbers suggest they are here to stay.
Michael Morse, Washington Nationals
Before 2011, Morse was primarily known from his days as a good-hit, poor-field shortstop for the Seattle Mariners and his apparent misfortune of getting suspended twice for the same drug infraction. Morse missed most of 2008 with a torn labrum and went unclaimed on waivers in 2009 despite an apparent recovery and a .300/.365/.397 career line in the majors. He was traded to the Nats in June of 2009 and hit .303/.360/.550 with 31 homers and 95 RBIs in 2011, making Nats fans forget about the existence of Adam LaRoche, signed to a two-year, $16 million contract before last season.
To read the full story, plus get all of ESPN Insider's daily MLB content, sign up and become an Insider today.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
Dan Szymborski
ESPN Insider- Creator of ZiPS projection system
- Founder of Baseball Think Factory
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE MLB HEADLINES
- Red Sox put P Buchholz (neck strain) on DL
- Yanks' Tex goes on DL; surgery for Youkilis
- Harvey takes no-no into 7th, Mets hold on
- O's homer twice off Verlander to top Tigers
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
Spring Fever

Future Power Rankings
Buster, Bowden and Law break down how well your team is set up for the future.
Part 1: No. 30-21
Part 2: No. 20-11
Part 3: No. 10-1
Audio: Shocks and surprises
Future Power Rankings methodology
Keith Law's top prospects
- Top 50 prospects for 2012 draft
- Organizational rankings: Padres on top
- Law's top 100:
Index | 1-25 | 26-50 | 51-75 | 76-100 - Top 10 prospects by organization
- Top prospects who missed top 100
- Sleeper prospect for every team
- Impact prospects for 2012
Features
March 30: Szymborski: AL standings | NLMarch 29: BP: Four fading Phillies
March 27: Szymborski: Five non-flukes
March 26: Cameron: Top 500's underachievers
March 23: Cameron: Will Strasburg be the same?
March 22: BP: Smoak underrated by Safeco
March 21: Szymborski: The next Bautista
March 19: Cameron: Controlling Bryce's price
March 15: Goldstein: Prospects making waves
March 15: BP: Who's starting the wrong guy?
March 12: Cameron: Tribe's nasty rotation
March 10: Lindbergh: Sale a good bet to succeed
- Law: Expectations for Wheeler, Myers and Cole
- Szymborski: Calculating Kershaw's worth
- MLB Draft: Rodon, Turner could make history
- Olney: New low for A's ballpark
- Swydan: San Diego's sneaky-deep lineup

